Stock Analysis

Does Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology (SHSE:688676) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SHSE:688676

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688676) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology

How Much Debt Does Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology had CN¥1.88b of debt, an increase on CN¥1.33b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥728.4m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.15b.

SHSE:688676 Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2024

A Look At Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology had liabilities of CN¥3.86b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.63b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥728.4m and CN¥3.14b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.63b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥17.8b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.8 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 12.1 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Notably, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 123% on last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.