Stock Analysis
Is Beiqi Foton MotorLtd (SHSE:600166) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Beiqi Foton Motor Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600166) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Beiqi Foton MotorLtd
What Is Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Beiqi Foton MotorLtd had debt of CN¥5.77b, up from CN¥4.40b in one year. But it also has CN¥8.60b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥2.83b net cash.
How Healthy Is Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Beiqi Foton MotorLtd had liabilities of CN¥33.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥5.73b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥8.60b as well as receivables valued at CN¥11.2b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥19.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥18.6b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. Beiqi Foton MotorLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load, even if it does have very significant liabilities, in total.
In fact Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 22% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Beiqi Foton MotorLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last two years, Beiqi Foton MotorLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Summing Up
Although Beiqi Foton MotorLtd's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥2.83b. Despite its cash we think that Beiqi Foton MotorLtd seems to struggle to grow its EBIT, so we are wary of the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Beiqi Foton MotorLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600166
Beiqi Foton MotorLtd
Manufactures and sells commercial vehicles worldwide.