Stock Analysis
- Chile
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- General Merchandise and Department Stores
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- SNSE:FALABELLA
Falabella S.A. (SNSE:FALABELLA) Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing
When close to half the companies in Chile have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 9x, you may consider Falabella S.A. (SNSE:FALABELLA) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 46.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Falabella has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Falabella
Is There Enough Growth For Falabella?
Falabella's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 395%. EPS has also lifted 14% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 41% per year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 17% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Falabella's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Falabella's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Falabella (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Falabella's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SNSE:FALABELLA
Falabella
Engages in the retail sale of clothing, accessories, home products, electronics, and beauty and other products in Chile, Peru, Colombia, Brazil, Mexico, Uruguay, and Argentina.