Stock Analysis
Carozzi S.A.'s (SNSE:CAROZZI) Shares Leap 30% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story
Carozzi S.A. (SNSE:CAROZZI) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 30% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 52% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, Carozzi's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Chile, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 12x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Carozzi has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Carozzi
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Carozzi will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Carozzi's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 106% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 6.5% shows it's noticeably more attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Carozzi's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Carozzi's P/E?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Carozzi's P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Carozzi revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Carozzi (1 is potentially serious!) that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SNSE:CAROZZI
Carozzi
Produces and markets food products in Chile.