Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy Dufry AG (VTX:DUFN)?

SWX:AVOL
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Dufry AG (VTX:DUFN), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the SWX over the last few months. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Dufry’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Dufry

What Is Dufry Worth?

Good news, investors! Dufry is still a bargain right now. According to my valuation, the intrinsic value for the stock is CHF56.57, but it is currently trading at CHF40.05 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. Although, there may be another chance to buy again in the future. This is because Dufry’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What kind of growth will Dufry generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:DUFN Earnings and Revenue Growth February 13th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Dufry's earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? Since DUFN is currently undervalued, it may be a great time to accumulate more of your holdings in the stock. With a positive outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as capital structure to consider, which could explain the current undervaluation.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on DUFN for a while, now might be the time to make a leap. Its buoyant future outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy DUFN. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed buy.

If you'd like to know more about Dufry as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for Dufry and we think they deserve your attention.

If you are no longer interested in Dufry, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SWX:AVOL

Avolta

Operates as a travel retailer. The company’s retail brands include general travel retail shops under the Dufry, World Duty Free, Nuance, Hellenic Duty Free, Zurich Duty-Free or Stockholm Duty-Free, Autogrill, and HMSHost brands; Dufry shopping stores; brand boutiques; convenience stores primarily under the Hudson brand; and specialized shops and theme stores.

Solid track record with reasonable growth potential.