Stock Analysis

We Think PSP Swiss Property (VTX:PSPN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SWX:PSPN
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, PSP Swiss Property AG (VTX:PSPN) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for PSP Swiss Property

What Is PSP Swiss Property's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 PSP Swiss Property had debt of CHF3.01b, up from CHF2.67b in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:PSPN Debt to Equity History July 7th 2021

How Healthy Is PSP Swiss Property's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, PSP Swiss Property had liabilities of CHF600.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CHF3.62b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CHF30.3m as well as receivables valued at CHF39.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CHF4.15b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CHF5.48b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on PSP Swiss Property's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Strangely PSP Swiss Property has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 10.4, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 22.6. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! One way PSP Swiss Property could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 13%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if PSP Swiss Property can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, PSP Swiss Property recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 91% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

PSP Swiss Property's net debt to EBITDA was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. Considering this range of data points, we think PSP Swiss Property is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example PSP Swiss Property has 4 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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