Stock Analysis

PSP Swiss Property (VTX:PSPN) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SWX:PSPN
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, PSP Swiss Property AG (VTX:PSPN) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for PSP Swiss Property

What Is PSP Swiss Property's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 PSP Swiss Property had CHF3.09b of debt, an increase on CHF2.67b, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:PSPN Debt to Equity History January 18th 2021

How Healthy Is PSP Swiss Property's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that PSP Swiss Property had liabilities of CHF730.8m due within a year, and liabilities of CHF3.35b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CHF12.3m as well as receivables valued at CHF33.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CHF4.03b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CHF5.36b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Strangely PSP Swiss Property has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 11.5, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 18.3. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. We saw PSP Swiss Property grow its EBIT by 7.9% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if PSP Swiss Property can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, PSP Swiss Property generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 83% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

PSP Swiss Property's net debt to EBITDA was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that PSP Swiss Property is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with PSP Swiss Property (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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