Stock Analysis

Molecular Partners AG's (VTX:MOLN) market cap dropped CHF20m last week; Retail investors bore the brunt

SWX:MOLN
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Key Insights

  • Molecular Partners' significant retail investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • 52% of the business is held by the top 6 shareholders
  • 14% of Molecular Partners is held by Institutions

Every investor in Molecular Partners AG (VTX:MOLN) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 38% to be precise, is retail investors. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

And following last week's 10% decline in share price, retail investors suffered the most losses.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Molecular Partners, beginning with the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for Molecular Partners

ownership-breakdown
SWX:MOLN Ownership Breakdown August 6th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Molecular Partners?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Molecular Partners. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Molecular Partners' historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:MOLN Earnings and Revenue Growth August 6th 2024

It looks like hedge funds own 38% of Molecular Partners shares. That worth noting, since hedge funds are often quite active investors, who may try to influence management. Many want to see value creation (and a higher share price) in the short term or medium term. BVF Partners L.P. is currently the largest shareholder, with 26% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 6.2% and 5.8% of the stock. Furthermore, CEO Patrick Amstutz is the owner of 2.2% of the company's shares.

We also observed that the top 6 shareholders account for more than half of the share register, with a few smaller shareholders to balance the interests of the larger ones to a certain extent.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of Molecular Partners

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Molecular Partners AG. It has a market capitalization of just CHF173m, and insiders have CHF8.5m worth of shares, in their own names. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 38% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Molecular Partners. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Public Company Ownership

Public companies currently own 5.2% of Molecular Partners stock. This may be a strategic interest and the two companies may have related business interests. It could be that they have de-merged. This holding is probably worth investigating further.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Molecular Partners (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.