Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, SIG Combibloc Group AG (VTX:SIGN) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for SIG Combibloc Group
How Much Debt Does SIG Combibloc Group Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 SIG Combibloc Group had €1.64b of debt, an increase on €1.53b, over one year. On the flip side, it has €152.0m in cash leading to net debt of about €1.49b.
How Strong Is SIG Combibloc Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that SIG Combibloc Group had liabilities of €843.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €2.24b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €152.0m in cash and €250.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €2.68b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since SIG Combibloc Group has a market capitalization of €8.40b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
SIG Combibloc Group has net debt to EBITDA of 3.0 suggesting it uses a fair bit of leverage to boost returns. On the plus side, its EBIT was 7.2 times its interest expense, and its net debt to EBITDA, was quite high, at 3.0. One way SIG Combibloc Group could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 12%, as it did over the last year. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine SIG Combibloc Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, SIG Combibloc Group recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 96% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Our View
SIG Combibloc Group's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that SIG Combibloc Group can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for SIG Combibloc Group you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About SWX:SIGN
SIG Group
Provides aseptic carton packaging systems and solutions for beverage and liquid food products.
Proven track record and fair value.