Stock Analysis

Are EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG's (VTX:EMSN) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

SWX:EMSN
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With its stock down 8.5% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING (VTX:EMSN). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING is:

23% = CHF466m ÷ CHF2.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CHF1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CHF0.23 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING's Earnings Growth And 23% ROE

First thing first, we like that EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING has an impressive ROE. Further, even comparing with the industry average if 19%, the company's ROE is quite respectable. However, When you compare EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING's high ROE with its rather flat earnings, you are left wondering, what's causing the growth to lag? Based on this, we feel that there might be other reasons which haven't been discussed so far in this article that could be hampering the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

As a next step, we compared EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING's net income growth with the industry and discovered that the industry saw an average growth of 6.8% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SWX:EMSN Past Earnings Growth January 9th 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for EMSN? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING has a high three-year median payout ratio of 69% (or a retention ratio of 31%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

In addition, EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 89% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Summary

In total, it does look like EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return. Investors could have benefitted from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. As discussed earlier, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.