Swiss Life Holding AG's (VTX:SLHN) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
January 19, 2022
SWX:SLHN
Source: Shutterstock

Swiss Life Holding (VTX:SLHN) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 26% over the last three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Swiss Life Holding's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Swiss Life Holding

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Swiss Life Holding is:

6.9% = CHF1.1b ÷ CHF16b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2021).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CHF1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CHF0.07 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Swiss Life Holding's Earnings Growth And 6.9% ROE

On the face of it, Swiss Life Holding's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.3%. Having said that, Swiss Life Holding has shown a meagre net income growth of 4.7% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. So this could also be one of the reasons behind the company's low growth in earnings.

We then compared Swiss Life Holding's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 1.2% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SWX:SLHN Past Earnings Growth January 19th 2022

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Swiss Life Holding is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Swiss Life Holding Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 55% (that is, the company retains only 45% of its income) over the past three years for Swiss Life Holding suggests that the company's earnings growth was lower as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.

Additionally, Swiss Life Holding has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 59%. Regardless, the future ROE for Swiss Life Holding is predicted to rise to 9.9% despite there being not much change expected in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Swiss Life Holding has some positive aspects to its business. While no doubt its earnings growth is pretty substantial, we do feel that the reinvestment rate is pretty low, meaning, the earnings growth number could have been significantly higher had the company been retaining more of its profits. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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