Walmart Valuation

Is WMT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WMT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WMT (CHF107.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF136.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WMT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WMT?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

WMT key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.2x
PEG Ratio3.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WMT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WMT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.1x
COST Costco Wholesale
54.2x7.4%US$390.8b
TGT Target
16.1x5.0%US$73.5b
WALMEX * Wal-Mart de México. de
20.3x9.1%Mex$1.1t
DG Dollar General
17.9x9.6%US$27.2b
WMT Walmart
38.9x11.7%CHF 605.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WMT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.9x) compared to the peer average (27.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WMT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WMT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.9x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WMT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WMT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate WMT's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WMT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 107.68
CHF 67.99
-36.9%
7.2%CHF 73.23CHF 44.28n/a36
Aug ’25CHF 107.68
CHF 65.05
-39.6%
8.1%CHF 76.21CHF 46.08n/a36
Jul ’25CHF 107.68
CHF 65.14
-39.5%
7.1%CHF 73.15CHF 46.96n/a35
Jun ’25CHF 107.68
CHF 64.65
-40.0%
6.3%CHF 68.60CHF 47.56n/a36
May ’25CHF 107.68
CHF 59.37
-44.9%
6.3%CHF 68.42CHF 45.62n/a37
Apr ’25CHF 107.68
CHF 58.92
-45.3%
6.4%CHF 67.85CHF 45.24n/a37
Mar ’25CHF 107.68
CHF 57.47
-46.6%
6.4%CHF 67.13CHF 44.16n/a37
Feb ’25CHF 35.89
CHF 51.52
+43.5%
6.5%CHF 60.39CHF 42.28n/a37
Jan ’25CHF 35.89
CHF 51.65
+43.9%
6.5%CHF 60.71CHF 42.50n/a38
Dec ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 52.16
+45.3%
6.4%CHF 61.18CHF 42.82n/a38
Nov ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 53.08
+47.9%
6.5%CHF 62.52CHF 43.17n/a38
Oct ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 53.96
+50.3%
6.4%CHF 63.84CHF 44.08n/a38
Sep ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 51.88
+44.5%
6.1%CHF 61.64CHF 42.56n/a38
Aug ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 49.50
+37.9%
5.8%CHF 61.05CHF 44.19CHF 107.6838
Jul ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 50.35
+40.3%
4.9%CHF 55.61CHF 43.35CHF 107.6838
Jun ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 50.13
+39.7%
4.8%CHF 54.37CHF 43.80CHF 107.6837
May ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 48.68
+35.6%
5.2%CHF 53.77CHF 43.02CHF 107.6838
Apr ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 49.06
+36.7%
5.4%CHF 54.84CHF 43.87CHF 107.6837
Mar ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 50.08
+39.5%
5.4%CHF 56.00CHF 44.80CHF 107.6837
Feb ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 48.53
+35.2%
6.1%CHF 53.01CHF 40.29CHF 35.8936
Jan ’24CHF 35.89
CHF 49.70
+38.5%
6.4%CHF 54.24CHF 41.22CHF 35.8937
Dec ’23CHF 35.89
CHF 49.96
+39.2%
6.4%CHF 54.66CHF 41.54CHF 35.8936
Nov ’23CHF 35.89
CHF 50.88
+41.8%
6.0%CHF 56.74CHF 43.39CHF 35.8936
Oct ’23CHF 35.89
CHF 48.75
+35.8%
6.3%CHF 54.56CHF 41.72CHF 35.8936
Sep ’23CHF 35.89
CHF 49.39
+37.6%
6.6%CHF 55.41CHF 42.37CHF 35.8935
Aug ’23CHF 35.89
CHF 44.80
+24.8%
8.7%CHF 53.84CHF 34.84CHF 35.8934

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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