If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at SGS (VTX:SGSN) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on SGS is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.19 = CHF798m ÷ (CHF6.9b - CHF2.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Therefore, SGS has an ROCE of 19%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 11% generated by the Professional Services industry.
Check out our latest analysis for SGS
Above you can see how the current ROCE for SGS compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for SGS.
How Are Returns Trending?
Things have been pretty stable at SGS, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect SGS to be a multi-bagger going forward. On top of that you'll notice that SGS has been paying out a large portion (89%) of earnings in the form of dividends to shareholders. These mature businesses typically have reliable earnings and not many places to reinvest them, so the next best option is to put the earnings into shareholders pockets.
The Bottom Line On SGS' ROCE
In a nutshell, SGS has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. Since the stock has gained an impressive 51% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. Ultimately, if the underlying trends persist, we wouldn't hold our breath on it being a multi-bagger going forward.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for SGS that we think you should be aware of.
While SGS may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SWX:SGSN
SGS
Provides inspection, testing, and verification services in Europe, Africa, the Middle East, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific.
Reasonable growth potential average dividend payer.