What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Adval Tech Holding (VTX:ADVN) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Adval Tech Holding is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.07 = CHF9.2m ÷ (CHF163m - CHF31m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).
Thus, Adval Tech Holding has an ROCE of 7.0%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Machinery industry average of 13%.
See our latest analysis for Adval Tech Holding
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Adval Tech Holding compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Adval Tech Holding.
How Are Returns Trending?
Over the past five years, Adval Tech Holding's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Adval Tech Holding to be a multi-bagger going forward. This probably explains why Adval Tech Holding is paying out 33% of its income to shareholders in the form of dividends. Given the business isn't reinvesting in itself, it makes sense to distribute a portion of earnings among shareholders.
What We Can Learn From Adval Tech Holding's ROCE
In a nutshell, Adval Tech Holding has been trudging along with the same returns from the same amount of capital over the last five years. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 34% in the last five years. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Adval Tech Holding has the makings of a multi-bagger.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Adval Tech Holding that we think you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:ADVN
Adval Tech Holding
Manufactures metal components and subassemblies, and plastic components in Switzerland and internationally.
Mediocre balance sheet low.