Stock Analysis
Exchange Income (TSE:EIF) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.22
The board of Exchange Income Corporation (TSE:EIF) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of January, with investors receiving CA$0.22 per share. The dividend yield will be 4.7% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.
View our latest analysis for Exchange Income
Exchange Income's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, earnings were actually smaller than the dividend, and the company was actually spending more cash than it was making. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 93.7% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 56% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.
Exchange Income Has A Solid Track Record
The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was CA$1.68, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$2.64. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.6% a year over that time. Although we can't deny that the dividend has been remarkably stable in the past, the growth has been pretty muted.
Exchange Income May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend
Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, Exchange Income's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. The earnings growth is anaemic, and the company is paying out 102% of its profit. Limited recent earnings growth and a high payout ratio makes it hard for us to envision strong future dividend growth, unless the company should have substantial pricing power or some form of competitive advantage.
Exchange Income's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. We can't deny that the payments have been very stable, but we are a little bit worried about the very high payout ratio. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Exchange Income (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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About TSX:EIF
Exchange Income
Engages in aerospace and aviation services and equipment, and manufacturing businesses worldwide.