Stock Analysis

Exchange Income (TSE:EIF) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.22

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TSX:EIF

The board of Exchange Income Corporation (TSE:EIF) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 15th of January, with investors receiving CA$0.22 per share. The dividend yield will be 4.7% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Exchange Income

Exchange Income's Payment Could Potentially Have Solid Earnings Coverage

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, earnings were actually smaller than the dividend, and the company was actually spending more cash than it was making. Paying out such a large dividend compared to earnings while also not generating any free cash flow would definitely be difficult to keep up.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 93.7% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 56% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

TSX:EIF Historic Dividend December 21st 2024

Exchange Income Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2014, the annual payment back then was CA$1.68, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$2.64. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.6% a year over that time. Although we can't deny that the dividend has been remarkably stable in the past, the growth has been pretty muted.

Exchange Income May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, Exchange Income's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. The earnings growth is anaemic, and the company is paying out 102% of its profit. Limited recent earnings growth and a high payout ratio makes it hard for us to envision strong future dividend growth, unless the company should have substantial pricing power or some form of competitive advantage.

Exchange Income's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. We can't deny that the payments have been very stable, but we are a little bit worried about the very high payout ratio. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Exchange Income (of which 2 don't sit too well with us!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.