Stock Analysis

Here's Why TeraGo (TSE:TGO) Can Afford Some Debt

TSX:TGO
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that TeraGo Inc. (TSE:TGO) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is TeraGo's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2023 TeraGo had debt of CA$6.22m, up from none in one year. However, it also had CA$3.23m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$2.99m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:TGO Debt to Equity History June 8th 2023

How Strong Is TeraGo's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that TeraGo had liabilities of CA$9.47m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$15.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$3.23m in cash and CA$1.89m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$19.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

TeraGo has a market capitalization of CA$47.4m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine TeraGo's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year TeraGo had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 35%, to CA$26m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did TeraGo's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CA$8.4m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$4.8m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example TeraGo has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.