Stock Analysis

HIVE Digital Technologies (TSXV:HIVE) Is Down 13.2% After Announcing Paraguay’s Largest Renewable Data Center Expansion – What's Changed

  • HIVE Digital Technologies recently announced an agreement to develop a 100 MW hydroelectric-powered data center in Paraguay, increasing its renewable capacity in the country to 400 MW and making it the largest facility of its kind there.
  • This expansion supports HIVE's target to achieve 35 EH/s global Bitcoin mining capacity by 2026 and a fivefold boost in high-performance computing and AI operations through its partnership with Bell Canada.
  • We'll explore what this acceleration of renewable-powered infrastructure could mean for HIVE's investment narrative and future positioning.

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What Is HIVE Digital Technologies' Investment Narrative?

To be a shareholder in HIVE Digital Technologies, you need to believe in the long-term potential of renewable-powered digital infrastructure and the company's ability to scale both Bitcoin mining and AI operations globally. The recent announcement of expanding Paraguayan operations with an additional 100 MW hydroelectric-powered data center is significant, as it directly supports HIVE’s ambitious targets for hashrate and high-performance computing growth. In the short term, this could reinforce catalysts like faster capacity ramps, broader revenue streams, and continued cost advantages from low-cost renewable energy, especially as mining economics remain volatile. However, risks are evolving: while growth appetite is high, the pace of scaling, capital allocation, and the operational complexity tied to large multi-region expansions may become more prominent watchpoints compared to past quarters. The news may shift market focus to execution risks just as much as the technology or market conditions themselves. Yet, with share price strength seen earlier and robust recent earnings, the company’s narrative seems to be moving to a higher-stakes phase.

But on the flip side, scaling quickly can introduce its own risks that investors should watch closely. Our comprehensive valuation report raises the possibility that HIVE Digital Technologies is priced lower than what may be justified by its financials.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSXV:HIVE Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
TSXV:HIVE Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
Twelve fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span US$3.46 to US$34.63 per share. With such a wide spread in views, many users anticipate very different potential outcomes, particularly as the company’s South American expansion raises new questions about execution and capital demands. Consider several viewpoints before deciding what performance drivers matter most to you.

Explore 12 other fair value estimates on HIVE Digital Technologies - why the stock might be worth over 4x more than the current price!

Build Your Own HIVE Digital Technologies Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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