Stock Analysis

Both private equity firms who control a good portion of Docebo Inc. (TSE:DCBO) along with institutions must be dismayed after last week's 4.9% decrease

Published
TSX:DCBO

Key Insights

  • Docebo's significant private equity firms ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • 52% of the business is held by the top 2 shareholders
  • Insiders have sold recently

If you want to know who really controls Docebo Inc. (TSE:DCBO), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 52% to be precise, is private equity firms. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

While the holdings of private equity firms took a hit after last week’s 4.9% price drop, institutions with their 24% holdings also suffered.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Docebo.

See our latest analysis for Docebo

TSX:DCBO Ownership Breakdown January 9th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Docebo?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Docebo. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Docebo's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

TSX:DCBO Earnings and Revenue Growth January 9th 2024

Our data indicates that hedge funds own 7.9% of Docebo. That catches my attention because hedge funds sometimes try to influence management, or bring about changes that will create near term value for shareholders. Our data shows that Intercap Inc. is the largest shareholder with 42% of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 9.9% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 7.9% by the third-largest shareholder. In addition, we found that Claudio Erba, the CEO has 1.1% of the shares allocated to their name.

A more detailed study of the shareholder registry showed us that 2 of the top shareholders have a considerable amount of ownership in the company, via their 52% stake.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Docebo

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own some shares in Docebo Inc.. This is a big company, so it is good to see this level of alignment. Insiders own CA$24m worth of shares (at current prices). It is good to see this level of investment by insiders. You can check here to see if those insiders have been buying recently.

General Public Ownership

With a 15% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Docebo. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Private Equity Ownership

With an ownership of 52%, private equity firms are in a position to play a role in shaping corporate strategy with a focus on value creation. Sometimes we see private equity stick around for the long term, but generally speaking they have a shorter investment horizon and -- as the name suggests -- don't invest in public companies much. After some time they may look to sell and redeploy capital elsewhere.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Docebo better, we need to consider many other factors. Be aware that Docebo is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.