Artis Real Estate Investment Trust Full-Year Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Next Year

Last week, you might have seen that Artis Real Estate Investment Trust (TSE:AX.UN) released its full-year result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.7% to CA$12.06 in the past week. The result was fairly weak overall, with revenues of CA$522m being 2.3% less than what analysts had been modelling. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what top analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether analysts have changed their mind on Artis Real Estate Investment Trust after the latest results.

View our latest analysis for Artis Real Estate Investment Trust

After the latest results, the consensus from Artis Real Estate Investment Trust's three analysts is for revenues of CA$495.0m in 2020, which would reflect a discernible 5.1% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Before this earnings result, analysts had predicted CA$489.1m revenue in 2020, although there was no accompanying EPS estimate. Overall it looks like Artis Real Estate Investment Trust is performing in line with analyst expectations, given analysts have updated their numbers and there's been no real change to next year's forecast following these results.

We'd also point out that that analysts have made no major changes to their price target of CA$13.30. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Artis Real Estate Investment Trust at CA$14.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CA$12.50. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggests analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

Further, we can compare these estimates to past performance, and see how Artis Real Estate Investment Trust forecasts compare to the wider market's forecast performance. One obvious concern is that although revenues are forecast to continue shrinking, the expected 5.1% decline next year is substantially more severe than the 0.3% annual decline over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in the market are forecast to see their revenue decline 4.4% per year. It seems clear that while revenues are expected to continue declining, analysts also expect the downturn to be more severe than that of the wider market.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is the bullish forecast for profits next year. Fortunately, analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting sales are tracking in line with expectations - although our data does suggest that Artis Real Estate Investment Trust's revenues are expected to perform worse than the wider market. The consensus price target held steady at CA$13.30, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on analysts' estimated valuations.

At least one of Artis Real Estate Investment Trust's three analysts has provided estimates out to 2021, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

You can also see whether Artis Real Estate Investment Trust is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

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