Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s (TSE:MDP) Prospects As Shares Rocket 52%

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TSX:MDP

Despite an already strong run, Medexus Pharmaceuticals Inc. (TSE:MDP) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 52% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 72%.

After such a large jump in price, Medexus Pharmaceuticals may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32x, since almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios under 14x and even P/E's lower than 8x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Medexus Pharmaceuticals hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Medexus Pharmaceuticals

TSX:MDP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Medexus Pharmaceuticals.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Medexus Pharmaceuticals' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 61%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 82% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Medexus Pharmaceuticals' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Medexus Pharmaceuticals' P/E

Medexus Pharmaceuticals' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Medexus Pharmaceuticals' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Medexus Pharmaceuticals (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.