Stock Analysis

Shaw Communications (TSE:SJR.B) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

TSX:SJR.B
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Shaw Communications Inc. (TSE:SJR.B) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shaw Communications

How Much Debt Does Shaw Communications Carry?

As you can see below, Shaw Communications had CA$4.75b of debt at August 2020, down from CA$5.35b a year prior. However, it does have CA$763.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$3.99b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:SJR.B Debt to Equity History December 29th 2020

How Strong Is Shaw Communications's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shaw Communications had liabilities of CA$1.69b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$8.24b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$763.0m as well as receivables valued at CA$400.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$8.77b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CA$11.5b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Shaw Communications's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.9 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 4.2 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. We saw Shaw Communications grow its EBIT by 5.2% in the last twelve months. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shaw Communications's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Shaw Communications created free cash flow amounting to 18% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

At the end of the day, we're far from enamoured with Shaw Communications's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow or to handle its total liabilities. But its EBIT growth rate is a slight positive. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Shaw Communications stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shaw Communications .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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