Stock Analysis

Tsodilo Resources (CVE:TSD) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

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TSXV:TSD

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Tsodilo Resources Limited (CVE:TSD) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Tsodilo Resources

What Is Tsodilo Resources's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Tsodilo Resources had US$2.19m of debt, an increase on US$1.84m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

TSXV:TSD Debt to Equity History December 10th 2024

A Look At Tsodilo Resources' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Tsodilo Resources had liabilities of US$3.58m due within a year, and liabilities of US$5.6k falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$8.5k and US$37.0k worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$3.54m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Tsodilo Resources has a market capitalization of US$6.80m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Tsodilo Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Since Tsodilo Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Tsodilo Resources had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$1.1m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$722k in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Tsodilo Resources is showing 6 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 4 of those don't sit too well with us...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tsodilo Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.