Stock Analysis

The Bull Case For Americas Gold and Silver (TSX:USA) Could Change Following Surge in Silver Output and Antimony Breakthrough

  • Americas Gold and Silver reported a nearly twofold year-over-year increase in silver production for Q3 2025, supported by operational improvements at the Galena Complex and higher grades at Cosalá.
  • The company also achieved a breakthrough in antimony extraction, solidifying its position as the sole U.S. antimony producer after securing full ownership of the Galena Complex.
  • We'll review how these operational improvements and U.S. antimony production could reshape Americas Gold and Silver's investment outlook.

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Americas Gold and Silver Investment Narrative Recap

For those considering Americas Gold and Silver, the key story centers on the potential for improved margins and growth from sharply higher silver output and progress in antimony extraction, balanced against the challenge of turning recent operational wins into sustained profitability. The latest surge in silver production at Galena and Cosalá is promising, yet the company's reliance on debt and history of net losses remains the biggest near-term risk. The impact of these results is positive for production growth but doesn't fundamentally alter the company's most significant risk profile for now.

Among recent announcements, the completion of phase 1 upgrades to the Galena No. 3 Shaft stands out. By boosting hoisting capacity and mine productivity, this enhancement underpins the short-term production catalyst highlighted by the Q3 results, reinforcing Americas Gold and Silver's ability to capture higher margins, so long as operational stability is maintained.

Yet, it’s important not to overlook the company’s exposure to potential equity dilution, as...

Read the full narrative on Americas Gold and Silver (it's free!)

Americas Gold and Silver's narrative projects $343.0 million revenue and $98.5 million earnings by 2028. This requires 52.6% yearly revenue growth and a $158.1 million increase in earnings from the current -$59.6 million.

Uncover how Americas Gold and Silver's forecasts yield a CA$8.04 fair value, a 46% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:USA Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025
TSX:USA Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Community fair value opinions for Americas Gold and Silver span a wide range, from US$0.17 to US$12.29, based on 8 distinct Simply Wall St Community forecasts. While some see strong upside aligned with increased silver production and critical metals breakthroughs, ongoing debt reliance leaves open questions for future performance.

Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Americas Gold and Silver - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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