Stock Analysis

Does Taseko Mines (TSE:TKO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Taseko Mines Limited (TSE:TKO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Taseko Mines Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2025 Taseko Mines had debt of CA$812.3m, up from CA$739.0m in one year. However, it also had CA$123.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$688.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:TKO Debt to Equity History September 18th 2025

How Healthy Is Taseko Mines' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Taseko Mines had liabilities of CA$230.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$1.47b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$123.6m and CA$6.29m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$1.57b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CA$1.58b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Taseko Mines' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

Check out our latest analysis for Taseko Mines

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 0.44 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.9 hit our confidence in Taseko Mines like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Taseko Mines saw its EBIT tank 82% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Taseko Mines can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Taseko Mines saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Taseko Mines's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its net debt to EBITDA also fails to instill confidence. Considering all the factors previously mentioned, we think that Taseko Mines really is carrying too much debt. To our minds, that means the stock is rather high risk, and probably one to avoid; but to each their own (investing) style. Given our concerns about Taseko Mines's debt levels, it seems only prudent to check if insiders have been ditching the stock.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Taseko Mines might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.