Stock Analysis

retail investors who own 60% along with institutions invested in Probe Gold Inc. (TSE:PRB) saw increase in their holdings value last week

TSX:PRB
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Key Insights

  • Significant control over Probe Gold by retail investors implies that the general public has more power to influence management and governance-related decisions
  • A total of 22 investors have a majority stake in the company with 40% ownership
  • Institutional ownership in Probe Gold is 25%

Every investor in Probe Gold Inc. (TSE:PRB) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that retail investors own the lion's share in the company with 60% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Retail investors gained the most after market cap touched CA$236m last week, while institutions who own 25% also benefitted.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Probe Gold, beginning with the chart below.

View our latest analysis for Probe Gold

ownership-breakdown
TSX:PRB Ownership Breakdown October 17th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Probe Gold?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

We can see that Probe Gold does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Probe Gold's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:PRB Earnings and Revenue Growth October 17th 2023

Probe Gold is not owned by hedge funds. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Eldorado Gold Corporation with 9.3% of shares outstanding. With 5.2% and 4.7% of the shares outstanding respectively, Franklin Resources, Inc. and Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec are the second and third largest shareholders. In addition, we found that David Alexander Palmer, the CEO has 1.7% of the shares allocated to their name.

On studying our ownership data, we found that 22 of the top shareholders collectively own less than 50% of the share register, implying that no single individual has a majority interest.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of Probe Gold

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Probe Gold Inc.. It has a market capitalization of just CA$236m, and insiders have CA$13m worth of shares, in their own names. Some would say this shows alignment of interests between shareholders and the board, though we generally prefer to see bigger insider holdings. But it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a substantial 60% stake in Probe Gold, suggesting it is a fairly popular stock. With this amount of ownership, retail investors can collectively play a role in decisions that affect shareholder returns, such as dividend policies and the appointment of directors. They can also exercise the power to vote on acquisitions or mergers that may not improve profitability.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 9.3% of Probe Gold. It's hard to say for sure but this suggests they have entwined business interests. This might be a strategic stake, so it's worth watching this space for changes in ownership.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Probe Gold (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.