Stock Analysis
The board of Lundin Mining Corporation (TSE:LUN) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.09 per share on the 11th of September. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 2.6%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Lundin Mining
Lundin Mining's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 121% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 57%. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.
Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 62%, which would make us comfortable with the dividend's sustainability, despite the levels currently being elevated.
Lundin Mining's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Looking back, Lundin Mining's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2016, the dividend has gone from $0.0882 total annually to $0.259. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 14% per annum over that time. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.
Lundin Mining Might Find It Hard To Grow Its Dividend
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. We are encouraged to see that Lundin Mining has grown earnings per share at 15% per year over the past five years. Although per-share earnings are growing at a credible rate, the massive payout ratio may limit growth in the company's future dividend payments.
Our Thoughts On Lundin Mining's Dividend
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Lundin Mining that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:LUN
Lundin Mining
A diversified base metals mining company, engages in the exploration, development, and mining of mineral properties in Chile, Brazil, the United States, Portugal, Sweden, and Argentina.