Stock Analysis

Institutional investors are Galiano Gold Inc.'s (TSE:GAU) biggest bettors and were rewarded after last week's CA$40m market cap gain

Published
TSX:GAU

Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies Galiano Gold's stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • A total of 5 investors have a majority stake in the company with 53% ownership
  • Insiders have bought recently

If you want to know who really controls Galiano Gold Inc. (TSE:GAU), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. With 32% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

And things are looking up for institutional investors after the company gained CA$40m in market cap last week. One-year return to shareholders is currently 86% and last week’s gain was the icing on the cake.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Galiano Gold.

See our latest analysis for Galiano Gold

TSX:GAU Ownership Breakdown January 9th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Galiano Gold?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

We can see that Galiano Gold does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Galiano Gold's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

TSX:GAU Earnings and Revenue Growth January 9th 2024

It looks like hedge funds own 26% of Galiano Gold shares. That worth noting, since hedge funds are often quite active investors, who may try to influence management. Many want to see value creation (and a higher share price) in the short term or medium term. The company's largest shareholder is Equinox Partners Investment Management LLC, with ownership of 16%. Ruffer LLP is the second largest shareholder owning 12% of common stock, and Sun Valley Gold LLC holds about 9.8% of the company stock.

On looking further, we found that 53% of the shares are owned by the top 5 shareholders. In other words, these shareholders have a meaningful say in the decisions of the company.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. There is some analyst coverage of the stock, but it could still become more well known, with time.

Insider Ownership Of Galiano Gold

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Galiano Gold Inc. in their own names. It appears that the board holds about CA$1.2m worth of stock. This compares to a market capitalization of CA$295m. Many investors in smaller companies prefer to see the board more heavily invested. You can click here to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 29% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Galiano Gold. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Public Company Ownership

It appears to us that public companies own 13% of Galiano Gold. It's hard to say for sure but this suggests they have entwined business interests. This might be a strategic stake, so it's worth watching this space for changes in ownership.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Galiano Gold that you should be aware of.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.