Stock Analysis

Is Ascendant Resources (TSE:ASND) Using Too Much Debt?

TSX:ASND
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Ascendant Resources Inc. (TSE:ASND) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ascendant Resources

How Much Debt Does Ascendant Resources Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 Ascendant Resources had debt of US$3.56m, up from US$2.12m in one year. However, it does have US$141.0k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$3.42m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:ASND Debt to Equity History October 21st 2022

How Strong Is Ascendant Resources' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ascendant Resources had liabilities of US$4.66m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$303.0k due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$141.0k in cash and US$234.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.59m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Ascendant Resources has a market capitalization of US$11.8m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ascendant Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Since Ascendant Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Ascendant Resources produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$2.4m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$2.1m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Ascendant Resources has 4 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.