Stock Analysis
Insufficient Growth At Great-West Lifeco Inc. (TSE:GWO) Hampers Share Price
Great-West Lifeco Inc.'s (TSE:GWO) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 15x and even P/E's above 32x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Great-West Lifeco as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Great-West Lifeco
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Great-West Lifeco.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Great-West Lifeco's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 40%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 11% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 6.7% per year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Great-West Lifeco's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Great-West Lifeco's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Great-West Lifeco with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
You might be able to find a better investment than Great-West Lifeco. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:GWO
Great-West Lifeco
Engages in the life and health insurance, retirement and investment services, asset management, and reinsurance businesses in Canada, the United States, and Europe.