Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Carebook Technologies Inc.'s (CVE:CRBK) 40% Share Price Climb

Published
TSXV:CRBK

Carebook Technologies Inc. (CVE:CRBK) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 40% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Carebook Technologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Healthcare Services industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 8.4x and even P/S above 31x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Carebook Technologies

TSXV:CRBK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 7th 2024

How Carebook Technologies Has Been Performing

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Carebook Technologies as its revenue has been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Carebook Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Carebook Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?

Carebook Technologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 47%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 287% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.4% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Carebook Technologies' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price move, Carebook Technologies' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Carebook Technologies revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for Carebook Technologies that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Carebook Technologies' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.