Stock Analysis
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Big Rock Brewery Inc.'s (TSE:BR) Low P/S
When close to half the companies operating in the Beverage industry in Canada have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.8x, you may consider Big Rock Brewery Inc. (TSE:BR) as an attractive investment with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Big Rock Brewery
What Does Big Rock Brewery's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Big Rock Brewery's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Big Rock Brewery's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Big Rock Brewery?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Big Rock Brewery would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 8.4% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 3.7% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that Big Rock Brewery's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Big Rock Brewery revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Big Rock Brewery that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Big Rock Brewery, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Big Rock Brewery might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:BR
Big Rock Brewery
Produces, markets, and distributes craft beers, ciders, and ready-to-drink beverages primarily in Canada.