Stock Analysis

ShaMaran Petroleum Corp. (CVE:SNM) Stock Rockets 28% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

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TSXV:SNM

ShaMaran Petroleum Corp. (CVE:SNM) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 188% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that ShaMaran Petroleum's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Oil and Gas industry in Canada, where the median P/S ratio is around 2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for ShaMaran Petroleum

TSXV:SNM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 15th 2024

How Has ShaMaran Petroleum Performed Recently?

ShaMaran Petroleum hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on ShaMaran Petroleum.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For ShaMaran Petroleum?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, ShaMaran Petroleum would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 6.7% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 81% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 1.1%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that ShaMaran Petroleum is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does ShaMaran Petroleum's P/S Mean For Investors?

ShaMaran Petroleum's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that ShaMaran Petroleum currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for ShaMaran Petroleum (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.