Stock Analysis

Here's Why Whitecap Resources (TSE:WCP) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

TSX:WCP
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Whitecap Resources Inc. (TSE:WCP) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Whitecap Resources

How Much Debt Does Whitecap Resources Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Whitecap Resources had debt of CA$2.05b, up from CA$1.23b in one year. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:WCP Debt to Equity History February 15th 2023

How Strong Is Whitecap Resources' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Whitecap Resources had liabilities of CA$726.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$3.98b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$16.6m as well as receivables valued at CA$468.4m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$4.22b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CA$6.67b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Whitecap Resources' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Whitecap Resources's net debt is only 0.40 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 103 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, Whitecap Resources's EBIT dived 18%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Whitecap Resources's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last two years, Whitecap Resources's free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about Whitecap Resources's difficulty EBIT growth rate, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA were encouraging signs. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Whitecap Resources's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Whitecap Resources (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.