Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds Source Energy Services Ltd. (TSE:SHLE) But Growth Is Lacking

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TSX:SHLE

There wouldn't be many who think Source Energy Services Ltd.'s (TSE:SHLE) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Energy Services industry in Canada is similar at about 0.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Source Energy Services

TSX:SHLE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 6th 2024

How Has Source Energy Services Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Source Energy Services as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Source Energy Services.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Source Energy Services would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 114% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.3% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 6.9% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that Source Energy Services' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that Source Energy Services' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Source Energy Services, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Source Energy Services' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.