Stock Analysis

Investors Give High Arctic Energy Services Inc (TSE:HWO) Shares A 45% Hiding

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TSX:HWO

High Arctic Energy Services Inc (TSE:HWO) shares have had a horrible month, losing 45% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 34% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that High Arctic Energy Services' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Energy Services industry in Canada, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for High Arctic Energy Services

TSX:HWO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 19th 2024

How High Arctic Energy Services Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at High Arctic Energy Services over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for High Arctic Energy Services, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like High Arctic Energy Services' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to decline by 9.8% over the next year, which puts the company's recent medium-term positive growth rates in a good light for now.

With this information, we find it odd that High Arctic Energy Services is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Following High Arctic Energy Services' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of High Arctic Energy Services revealed its growing revenue over the medium-term hasn't helped elevate its P/S above that of the industry, which is surprising given the industry is set to shrink. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from outpacing the industry much like its revenue performance. One major risk is whether its revenue trajectory can keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. The fact that the company's relative performance has not provided a kick to the share price suggests that some investors are anticipating revenue instability.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for High Arctic Energy Services (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on High Arctic Energy Services, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if High Arctic Energy Services might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.