Stock Analysis

There's Been No Shortage Of Growth Recently For Athabasca Oil's (TSE:ATH) Returns On Capital

TSX:ATH
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. Speaking of which, we noticed some great changes in Athabasca Oil's (TSE:ATH) returns on capital, so let's have a look.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Athabasca Oil, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.059 = CA$110m ÷ (CA$2.1b - CA$241m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

Thus, Athabasca Oil has an ROCE of 5.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 9.9%.

Check out our latest analysis for Athabasca Oil

roce
TSX:ATH Return on Capital Employed February 21st 2024

In the above chart we have measured Athabasca Oil's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Athabasca Oil for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Athabasca Oil Tell Us?

We're delighted to see that Athabasca Oil is reaping rewards from its investments and has now broken into profitability. While the business was unprofitable in the past, it's now turned things around and is earning 5.9% on its capital. On top of that, what's interesting is that the amount of capital being employed has remained steady, so the business hasn't needed to put any additional money to work to generate these higher returns. So while we're happy that the business is more efficient, just keep in mind that could mean that going forward the business is lacking areas to invest internally for growth. After all, a company can only become a long term multi-bagger if it continually reinvests in itself at high rates of return.

What We Can Learn From Athabasca Oil's ROCE

In summary, we're delighted to see that Athabasca Oil has been able to increase efficiencies and earn higher rates of return on the same amount of capital. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last five years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors. In light of that, we think it's worth looking further into this stock because if Athabasca Oil can keep these trends up, it could have a bright future ahead.

Like most companies, Athabasca Oil does come with some risks, and we've found 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

While Athabasca Oil may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Athabasca Oil is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.