Stock Analysis

Aegis Brands (TSE:AEG) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

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TSX:AEG

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Aegis Brands Inc. (TSE:AEG) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Aegis Brands

What Is Aegis Brands's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Aegis Brands had CA$27.2m of debt in September 2024, down from CA$29.3m, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$1.36m, its net debt is less, at about CA$25.9m.

TSX:AEG Debt to Equity History February 11th 2025

A Look At Aegis Brands' Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Aegis Brands had liabilities of CA$7.44m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$28.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$1.36m as well as receivables valued at CA$2.43m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$32.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CA$30.7m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Aegis Brands shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.4), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.82 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. One redeeming factor for Aegis Brands is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CA$2.4m, over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Aegis Brands's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Aegis Brands burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Aegis Brands's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to grow its EBIT isn't such a worry. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Aegis Brands has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Aegis Brands (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.