Stock Analysis

GreenPower Motor (CVE:GPV) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Published
TSXV:GPV

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, GreenPower Motor Company Inc. (CVE:GPV) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for GreenPower Motor

What Is GreenPower Motor's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, GreenPower Motor had US$13.1m of debt, up from US$3.72m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$528.3k in cash leading to net debt of about US$12.6m.

TSXV:GPV Debt to Equity History October 26th 2024

How Strong Is GreenPower Motor's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that GreenPower Motor had liabilities of US$22.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$12.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$528.3k in cash and US$1.92m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$32.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of US$35.7m. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine GreenPower Motor's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year GreenPower Motor had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 54%, to US$25m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

Caveat Emptor

While GreenPower Motor's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$19m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled US$12m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with GreenPower Motor (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.