Decisive Dividend Corporation's (CVE:DE) investors are due to receive a payment of CA$0.045 per share on 15th of April. Based on this payment, the dividend yield on the company's stock will be 4.8%, which is an attractive boost to shareholder returns.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Decisive Dividend's stock price has increased by 43% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
See our latest analysis for Decisive Dividend
Decisive Dividend Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, the company's dividend was much higher than its earnings. Without profits and cash flows increasing, it would be difficult for the company to continue paying the dividend at this level.
Earnings per share is forecast to rise by 28.5% over the next year. However, if the dividend continues along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the payout ratio reaching 110% over the next year.
Decisive Dividend's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Looking back, Decisive Dividend's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2015, the annual payment back then was CA$0.24, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$0.54. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.4% a year over that time. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Decisive Dividend might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Decisive Dividend has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 15% per annum. However, the payout ratio is very high, not leaving much room for growth of the dividend in the future.
An additional note is that the company has been raising capital by issuing stock equal to 28% of shares outstanding in the last 12 months. Regularly doing this can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. While we generally think the level of distributions are a bit high, we wouldn't rule it out as becoming a good dividend payer in the future as its earnings are growing healthily. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 4 warning signs for Decisive Dividend you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored. Is Decisive Dividend not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:DE
Decisive Dividend
Through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells wood burning stoves, fireplace inserts, and gas fireplaces in Canada, the United States, and internationally.
Moderate with reasonable growth potential.