Stock Analysis

AtkinsRéalis (TSX:ATRL): Assessing Valuation After Global Expo Presentations and Leadership Moves

AtkinsRéalis Group (TSX:ATRL) is in the spotlight this week as it delivered presentations at both the World Nuclear Exhibition in Paris and the Super Terminal Expo in Hong Kong. This underscores its presence in major global infrastructure conversations.

See our latest analysis for AtkinsRéalis Group.

These headline events come as AtkinsRéalis Group continues to deliver for investors. The stock’s share price has climbed 29.6% year-to-date, while its 1-year total shareholder return of 39.4% and extraordinary 3-year total shareholder return of 319% highlight solid long-term momentum and rising market confidence.

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With such impressive momentum and recent management moves, investors may be wondering if AtkinsRéalis Group is still undervalued at current levels or if the market is already pricing in its next leg of growth.

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Most Popular Narrative: 14.9% Undervalued

The widely followed narrative assigns AtkinsRéalis Group a fair value of CA$113.96, making its last close of CA$96.96 appear meaningfully discounted by the market. This context sets the stage for a deeper look at the drivers behind this valuation.

Record backlog growth, especially in Nuclear (backlog up 223% YoY to $5.6B), reflects surging demand as global energy transition and decarbonization accelerate. This large contracted pipeline is likely to drive sustained revenue and EBITDA growth for several years.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how a pipeline this strong could justify such a premium? The secret sauce combines explosive demand, game-changing business mix shifts, and a set of aggressive financial projections that might surprise even the optimists. The full narrative reveals the bold numbers and assumptions shaping this standout valuation call.

Result: Fair Value of $113.96 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing sector cost pressures and delays in key projects could quickly challenge the positive outlook. This could force a reassessment of growth expectations.

Find out about the key risks to this AtkinsRéalis Group narrative.

Build Your Own AtkinsRéalis Group Narrative

If you want to dig deeper, challenge the current view, or craft your own perspective, you can build a compelling narrative yourself in just a few minutes. So why not Do it your way.

A great starting point for your AtkinsRéalis Group research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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