Stock Analysis
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- BOVESPA:MOVI3
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Movida Participações S.A.'s (BVMF:MOVI3) 27% Share Price Climb
Movida Participações S.A. (BVMF:MOVI3) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 43% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, considering around half the companies operating in Brazil's Transportation industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1x, you may still consider Movida Participações as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Movida Participações
How Has Movida Participações Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Movida Participações has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Movida Participações' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
Movida Participações' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 187% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 15% per year, which is not materially different.
With this information, we find it odd that Movida Participações is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Movida Participações' P/S?
Movida Participações' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
It looks to us like the P/S figures for Movida Participações remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Movida Participações (including 2 which shouldn't be ignored).
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:MOVI3
Movida Participações
Through its subsidiaries, provides car rental services in Brazil.