Stock Analysis

Telefônica Brasil (BVMF:VIVT3) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of R$0.30

BOVESPA:VIVT3
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The board of Telefônica Brasil S.A. (BVMF:VIVT3) has announced that it will pay a dividend of R$0.30 per share on the 31st of July. This means the annual payment is 7.0% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Telefônica Brasil

Telefônica Brasil's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Telefônica Brasil's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 17.1%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, our estimates say the payout ratio could reach 90%. This is definitely on the higher side, but we wouldn't necessarily say this is unsustainable.

historic-dividend
BOVESPA:VIVT3 Historic Dividend September 20th 2021

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The first annual payment during the last 10 years was R$3.78 in 2011, and the most recent fiscal year payment was R$3.14. This works out to be a decline of approximately 1.8% per year over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. However, Telefônica Brasil has only grown its earnings per share at 4.3% per annum over the past five years. The earnings growth is anaemic, and the company is paying out 116% of its profit. As they say in finance, 'past performance is not indicative of future performance', but we are not confident a company with limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio will be a star dividend-payer over the next decade.

In Summary

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. To that end, Telefônica Brasil has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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