Stock Analysis
- Brazil
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- General Merchandise and Department Stores
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- BOVESPA:MGLU3
These 4 Measures Indicate That Magazine Luiza (BVMF:MGLU3) Is Using Debt Extensively
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Magazine Luiza S.A. (BVMF:MGLU3) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Magazine Luiza
How Much Debt Does Magazine Luiza Carry?
As you can see below, Magazine Luiza had R$4.46b of debt at June 2024, down from R$7.23b a year prior. However, it does have R$1.95b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about R$2.51b.
How Strong Is Magazine Luiza's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Magazine Luiza had liabilities of R$13.4b due within a year, and liabilities of R$10.6b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had R$1.95b in cash and R$7.76b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$14.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit casts a shadow over the R$9.26b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Magazine Luiza would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Magazine Luiza shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.5), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.13 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Magazine Luiza's EBIT was down 89% over the last year. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Magazine Luiza can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last two years, Magazine Luiza actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
To be frank both Magazine Luiza's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Magazine Luiza's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Magazine Luiza is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:MGLU3
Magazine Luiza
Engages in the retail sale of consumer goods.