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João Fortes Engenharia S.A.'s (BVMF:JFEN3) 29% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
To the annoyance of some shareholders, João Fortes Engenharia S.A. (BVMF:JFEN3) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 92% share price decline.
Since its price has dipped substantially, João Fortes Engenharia may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in Brazil have P/S ratios greater than 1.9x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for João Fortes Engenharia
What Does João Fortes Engenharia's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been quite advantageous for João Fortes Engenharia as its revenue has been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on João Fortes Engenharia's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
João Fortes Engenharia's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 52% gain to the company's top line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 9.5% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why João Fortes Engenharia's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does João Fortes Engenharia's P/S Mean For Investors?
The southerly movements of João Fortes Engenharia's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
In line with expectations, João Fortes Engenharia maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with João Fortes Engenharia (at least 3 which make us uncomfortable), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on João Fortes Engenharia, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About BOVESPA:JFEN3
João Fortes Engenharia
Develops, constructs, and sells real estate properties in Brazil.