Stock Analysis

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Odontoprev (BVMF:ODPV3)

Published
BOVESPA:ODPV3

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Odontoprev S.A.'s (BVMF:ODPV3) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

View our latest analysis for Odontoprev

BOVESPA:ODPV3 Earnings and Revenue History November 16th 2024

A Closer Look At Odontoprev's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Odontoprev recorded an accrual ratio of 0.28. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In fact, it had free cash flow of R$284m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of R$539.2m. Odontoprev shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Odontoprev's Profit Performance

Odontoprev didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Odontoprev's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 51% over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Odontoprev, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Odontoprev (1 is a bit concerning) you should be familiar with.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Odontoprev's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.