Stock Analysis

Some Diagnósticos da América S.A. (BVMF:DASA3) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 27% Pounding

Published
BOVESPA:DASA3

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Diagnósticos da América S.A. (BVMF:DASA3) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 79% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Diagnósticos da América's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Brazil's Healthcare industry is similar at about 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Diagnósticos da América

BOVESPA:DASA3 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2024

How Diagnósticos da América Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Diagnósticos da América as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Diagnósticos da América's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

Diagnósticos da América's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.5% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 59% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 7.1% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Diagnósticos da América is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Diagnósticos da América looks to be in line with the rest of the Healthcare industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

When you consider that Diagnósticos da América's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Diagnósticos da América you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.