Stock Analysis

Strong week for Alliança Saúde e Participações (BVMF:AALR3) shareholders doesn't alleviate pain of one-year loss

BOVESPA:AALR3
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Alliança Saúde e Participações S.A. (BVMF:AALR3) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 56% in the last quarter. But that isn't much consolation to those who have suffered through the declines of the last year. Specifically, the stock price slipped by 55% in that time. It's not that amazing to see a bounce after a drop like that. You could argue that the sell-off was too severe.

While the last year has been tough for Alliança Saúde e Participações shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Alliança Saúde e Participações

Alliança Saúde e Participações isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Alliança Saúde e Participações grew its revenue by 6.5% over the last year. While that may seem decent it isn't great considering the company is still making a loss. Without profits, and with revenue growth sluggish, you get a 55% loss for shareholders, over the year. We'd want to see evidence that future revenue growth will be stronger before getting too interested. Of course, the market can be too impatient at times. Why not take a closer look at this one so you're ready to pounce if growth does accelerate.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
BOVESPA:AALR3 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 10th 2024

Take a more thorough look at Alliança Saúde e Participações' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 4.2% in the last year, Alliança Saúde e Participações shareholders lost 55%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Alliança Saúde e Participações (including 1 which is concerning) .

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Brazilian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Alliança Saúde e Participações is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.