Stock Analysis

Revenues Tell The Story For Ser Educacional S.A. (BVMF:SEER3) As Its Stock Soars 26%

Published
BOVESPA:SEER3

Those holding Ser Educacional S.A. (BVMF:SEER3) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 9.6% over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Ser Educacional's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Services industry in Brazil, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Ser Educacional

BOVESPA:SEER3 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 5th 2025

What Does Ser Educacional's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent revenue growth for Ser Educacional has been in line with the industry. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ser Educacional.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ser Educacional would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.3% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 44% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.4% per annum as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 6.1% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it makes sense that Ser Educacional's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.

What We Can Learn From Ser Educacional's P/S?

Ser Educacional's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

A Ser Educacional's P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Consumer Services industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to support the share price at these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Ser Educacional you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.