Stock Analysis

Grupo Mateus' (BVMF:GMAT3) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

BOVESPA:GMAT3
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Grupo Mateus (BVMF:GMAT3) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Grupo Mateus:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.11 = R$916m ÷ (R$10.0b - R$1.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

So, Grupo Mateus has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Consumer Retailing industry average of 9.8%.

See our latest analysis for Grupo Mateus

roce
BOVESPA:GMAT3 Return on Capital Employed April 27th 2022

In the above chart we have measured Grupo Mateus' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What Can We Tell From Grupo Mateus' ROCE Trend?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Grupo Mateus doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 16% over the last four years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

On a side note, Grupo Mateus has done well to pay down its current liabilities to 17% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

In Conclusion...

Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Grupo Mateus. These growth trends haven't led to growth returns though, since the stock has fallen 39% over the last year. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.

Grupo Mateus does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

While Grupo Mateus isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.