Stock Analysis

Does Grupo Mateus (BVMF:GMAT3) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

BOVESPA:GMAT3
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Grupo Mateus S.A. (BVMF:GMAT3) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Grupo Mateus

What Is Grupo Mateus's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Grupo Mateus had R$1.75b of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of R$1.29b, its net debt is less, at about R$460.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
BOVESPA:GMAT3 Debt to Equity History March 29th 2024

A Look At Grupo Mateus' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Grupo Mateus had liabilities of R$4.24b due within 12 months and liabilities of R$3.35b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had R$1.29b in cash and R$3.88b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling R$2.42b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Grupo Mateus shares are worth a total of R$19.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Grupo Mateus's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.24 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 7.0 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Another good sign is that Grupo Mateus has been able to increase its EBIT by 23% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Grupo Mateus's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Grupo Mateus burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Grupo Mateus's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its net debt to EBITDA. Considering this range of data points, we think Grupo Mateus is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Grupo Mateus's earnings per share history for free.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.